Interesting results. Most interesting was that conservatives predict Rudy Giuiliani to win the Republican nomination, but when asked how they would vote in a Hillary Clinton v. Rudy Giuiliani election:
Conservatives warn of an exodus should Giuliani face Clinton in the general election with 29% indicating they would abstain or vote for a third party — an increase of 4% from Grassfire’s May poll. Slightly less (25%) warned of an exodus in a Romney-Clinton general election.
I’m not sure what to make of that. Why would conservatives think that Giuiliani will get the nod when the same poll reports, in response to the question “If you plan on voting Republican and your party’s primary or caucus were held today, for whom would you vote? ” this is the result:
Fred Thompson 28%
Mitt Romney 14%
Ron Paul 13%
Newt Gingrich 12%
Rudy Giuliani 11%
Mike Huckabee 7%
Tom Tancredo 6%
John McCain 4%
Duncan Hunter 3%
Sam Brownback 2%
Something is wrong here. Why would a voting block think that the guy polling in the #5 position get the nomination? What does it say when said voting block will vote 3rd party if Rudy gets the nomination?
Are we that cynical? Seriously! Why is the conservative voting block predicting the absolute worst outcome for the Republican party in this election?
Personally, I voted that Thompson would get the nomination. I have four reasons for this:
1) He’s keeping his mouth shut. Until tonight he wasn’t officially a candidate. He’s going to let the other guys tear eachother apart as long as he can.
2) He can talk the talk. He knows what people want to hear, and he can deliver that.
3) He’s on TV. Folks recognize him.
4) His wife works well for photo opportunities:
Points 3 and 4 are what people are going to vote on. Points 1 and 2 are just strategy that’ll prevent him from saying anything that’ll muck things up. Yes, I consider the voting public that vapid.
Personally, I’m voting for Ron Paul. This shouldn’t surprise anybody. I don’t think he’s 100% fitted for the Executive role, but he’s the only guy on the Republican ticket that I can trust.
Thompson is not going to win if he keeps talking like this: http://rawstory.com//news/2007/Fred_Thompson_Dissent_makes_US_weak_0907.html
There are sooooo many things he said in this that are just ridiculous. Unreal. Though like you said, the American voters (for the most part), don’t vote based on things like that.
Ron Paul 2008!!!!
I’m just glad to hear that mark isn’t voting for Ru Paul anymore!
More on why Thompson won’t make it for the Republican Party:
http://conservativesagainstfred.wordpress.com/2007/06/11/fred-thompsons-anti-gun-senate-record/
As much as I’d like to see anything pro Paul and anti-Fred presented the above link is far from the mark.
The only issue on that list that is brought up amongst the gun rights crowd is #4, the Lautenberg amendment. However, their argument against it skips around what Lautenberg actually says: It’s not a random misdemeanor, it’s Domestic Violence. I’m against it, but that has more to do with execution than the actual law. It would be interesting to see how Fred responds to this in hindsight. If he was forced to honestly speak about Lautenberg he’d either hang himself with the gun-rights crowd or gain a lot of street cred.
Personally, I think he’d hang himself.