Well, Iowa will caucus tomorrow. Well, today, as I’m posting this after midnight.
I’ll admit, I’m a bit nervous. I’m a Ron Paul guy so I’ve pretty much had to pretend that all of the polling data is somehow inaccurate up to this point. Somehow the primaes will turn out differently.
Well, tomorrow reality will probably come crashing down. I really don’t expect Ron Paul to place any higher than 3rd in Iowa. I think Huckabee will take Iowa with Romney coming in 2nd. Just a gut feeling. I wouldn’t be surprised if McCain takes 3rd and bumps Paul to 4th either.
New Hampshire on the other hand, just 5 days away, could very well be a turning point for me. Honestly, if Paul doesn’t at least take 2nd there I don’t see much hope in him getting the nomination. New Hampshire should be an easy state for Paul to place high in. A large number (I think 40%) of the voters are registered Independant and it was the target of the liberarian-minded Free State Project. If Paul can’t win there, or at least make a really good showing, I think the campaign is doomed.
In related news I caught a new Ron Paul radio spot today centered on national security. Much better than his anti-NAFTA ad that had been airing around here.
Some claim Ron Paul supporters spam online polls, the truth is they just all have the same I.P. address because… Hey! LOOK kittens!