Fox News Blowback: Ron Paul on Leno Monday Night
Jay Leno had Ron Paul on The Tonight Show Monday night. I got a chance to catch it.
Leno explained before Paul got out there that he had caught wind that Paul wasn’t invited to the Fox News debate in New Hampshire the other day, so he called Paul up and invited him on the show.
I think Paul came off well and got a chance to talk about what happened and had a sufficient amount of time to cover the issues that make him really stand out from the other Republicans. Now, I don’t expect this to create any real bump for Paul in New Hampshire on Tuesday. At the most perhaps a single percentage point, but considering that he’s tied with Huckabee for 3rd right now in the latest polls that I’ve seen that might be all it takes to give him 3rd place.
So, my predictions for New Hampshire’s Republican primary are:
#1: McCain (28-32%)
#2: Romney (18-22%)
#3: Paul or Huckabee (10-13%)
#4: Paul or Huckabee (9-12%)
#5: Giuliani
#6: Thompson
Pretty much the same thing that Doug Mataconis predicts here.
Doug also mentions the Michigan primary in his post and I agree that Romney will take this state. Michigan’s economy is in the shitter and Republicans here (justifiably) love successful businessmen as politicians. Now, my home county, and where I will be voting, Ottawa, will come down to either Paul or Huckabee. I wouldn’t be surprised if the same holds true for Kent county. Nobody plays the Jesus Card better than Huckabee and that will do well here.
Now, why do I think Paul will do well here? I can’t turn around without bumping into another Paul supporter. There are people I’ve known for more than half my life that are Paul supporters and I’d have never thought them to be. That and I’ve never seen anything but a Ron Paul yard sign around here.
Hey, I never claimed to be a scientific pollster!