You know what would be awesome? If Sarah Palin could construct an actual proper sentence on the fly. She’s stringing everything together with conjunctions. It sounds like a 16 year old hyped up on Red Bull giving a speech in front of class.
This is pathetic.
9:54pm: Looks like Palin is finding her stride here speaking about Israel and such. Or maybe the wine is kicking in.
9:55pm: This debate’s got more ‘Maverick’ in it than Top Gun. I friggen hate that label.
Guess I won’t have to feel the least bit guilty about voting 3rd party now.
The Republican field of candidates are down to four at this point: Paul, Huckabee, Romney, and McCain.
If you take Paul off that list I honestly don’t know who I should support.
Huckabee is good on the gun thing, but the reason that the gun thing works for me as a litmus test is because most of the time that indicates the candidate is all for personal choice and individual liberty. Huckabee is a populist, not a conservative. The only reason he takes any conservative views is because he thinks that’s what the people and and that is what will get him elected. Being right on the issue of guns is a side effect of that position, not a natural extension of his philosophy. I don’t like that.
McCain isn’t much better but I do get the feeling from him that he’s genuine in what he advocates for. He’s not just making shit up to get elected. Kudos for that, or at least making me think you’re genuine, but that won’t win my vote. If it did then I might as well vote for Obama. They look about equal in my eyes.
Romney has the successful businessman thing going for him, but I don’t think that translates perfectly into government. I’d feel much better about getting behind him if he were advocating for strong civil liberties and lower taxes, but he’s not doing that. All he’s doing is trying to make himself look better at economics than McCain.
Paul, I think, will end up running as a 3rd party. He’s been saving his money for this unless he’s created a massive ad campaign that’ll be launched before Super Tuesday. I don’t think he has. I have mixed feelings on this, but in the end I think it’s needed. McCain and Romney are basically Democrat-lite candidates trying to sucker in Republicans. A 3rd party run by Paul would give the Republican party some pretty clear numbers on just how many of their ilk are tried of rampant spending and shitting on civil liberties.
Yeah, I haven’t posted much lately.
Michigan’s primary is today. I’ll be heading in to vote for Ron Paul.
Jay Leno had Ron Paul on The Tonight Show Monday night. I got a chance to catch it.
Leno explained before Paul got out there that he had caught wind that Paul wasn’t invited to the Fox News debate in New Hampshire the other day, so he called Paul up and invited him on the show.
I think Paul came off well and got a chance to talk about what happened and had a sufficient amount of time to cover the issues that make him really stand out from the other Republicans. Now, I don’t expect this to create any real bump for Paul in New Hampshire on Tuesday. At the most perhaps a single percentage point, but considering that he’s tied with Huckabee for 3rd right now in the latest polls that I’ve seen that might be all it takes to give him 3rd place.
So, my predictions for New Hampshire’s Republican primary are:
#1: McCain (28-32%)
#2: Romney (18-22%)
#3: Paul or Huckabee (10-13%)
#4: Paul or Huckabee (9-12%)
#5: Giuliani
#6: Thompson
Pretty much the same thing that Doug Mataconis predicts here.
Doug also mentions the Michigan primary in his post and I agree that Romney will take this state. Michigan’s economy is in the shitter and Republicans here (justifiably) love successful businessmen as politicians. Now, my home county, and where I will be voting, Ottawa, will come down to either Paul or Huckabee. I wouldn’t be surprised if the same holds true for Kent county. Nobody plays the Jesus Card better than Huckabee and that will do well here.
Now, why do I think Paul will do well here? I can’t turn around without bumping into another Paul supporter. There are people I’ve known for more than half my life that are Paul supporters and I’d have never thought them to be. That and I’ve never seen anything but a Ron Paul yard sign around here.
Hey, I never claimed to be a scientific pollster!
#1: Romney (67%)
#2: Thompson (25%)
#3: Hunter (8%)
McCain, Paul, Giuliani, and Huckabee scored 0 delegates on this one.
I honestly thought Paul would have had more support out in Wyoming than that.
I’m going to update this post as the night goes on.
News just said that Huckabee was in the lead based on entrance polls with Romney right behind him. No mention of who was in 3rd so I’m going to go out on a limb here and say it’s Paul. I think they would have mentioned anybody else. Yeah, I’m a tin-foil hat nutter sometimes.
9:02pm Eastern Huckabee’s got this thing wrapped up. Only 15% of precints reporting but he’s sitting pretty good with 35% of the vote. Romney is at 24% and then it gets interesting:
9:14pm:WTF? Giuliani just popped up. Previously he was at 3%. Now:
40% of precints reporting. Now I’m worried.
9:37pm:WTF explained — Des Moines must have just posted their results when Giuliani surged up. He’s back down at 4% again with 65% of precints reporting. The 3rd place competition right now:
10:44pm: Okay, Huckabee is giving a speech with Chuck Norris right behind him. The Youtube commercial was silly. This is just plain surreal.
12:20am: Okay, 93% of precints reporting on the Republican side. Paul is still at 10% and in 5th place. It’s done.
Well, Iowa will caucus tomorrow. Well, today, as I’m posting this after midnight.
I’ll admit, I’m a bit nervous. I’m a Ron Paul guy so I’ve pretty much had to pretend that all of the polling data is somehow inaccurate up to this point. Somehow the primaes will turn out differently.
Well, tomorrow reality will probably come crashing down. I really don’t expect Ron Paul to place any higher than 3rd in Iowa. I think Huckabee will take Iowa with Romney coming in 2nd. Just a gut feeling. I wouldn’t be surprised if McCain takes 3rd and bumps Paul to 4th either.
New Hampshire on the other hand, just 5 days away, could very well be a turning point for me. Honestly, if Paul doesn’t at least take 2nd there I don’t see much hope in him getting the nomination. New Hampshire should be an easy state for Paul to place high in. A large number (I think 40%) of the voters are registered Independant and it was the target of the liberarian-minded Free State Project. If Paul can’t win there, or at least make a really good showing, I think the campaign is doomed.
In related news I caught a new Ron Paul radio spot today centered on national security. Much better than his anti-NAFTA ad that had been airing around here.
I don’t mean to be a dick here, but this is just plain funny.
I saw this over at Misha’s place: The Proposed Blogburst for Fred Thompson started by Rick Moran of The Right Wing Nut House.
Here’s the idea: Rick wants bloggers to blog about Fred Thompson on Thursday and ask other bloggers to do the same and to ask for donations. He’s not actually asking for Fred supporting bloggers to send in money, but for them to ask for money on behalf of Fred.
He’s already said he’s not looking for a “money bomb” but “a few tens of thousands of dollars would help.” Oh man does that ever sound pathetic.
Our buddy long-shot Ron Paul raises, on average, $213k a day in Q4 as of tonight. So, what the Fred Thompson camp can hope for over a day and a half, is what Ron Paul pulls in in 4 hours. Every four hours since October.
Totally coincidentally, and I’m not being sarcastic there, the official Thompson campaign sent out an email to supporters (the full text can be found at The Right Wing Nut House post) asking for, well, I’ll just let you read it:
I have a terrific new TV spot. You can see it now at Fred08.com. Take a look, and forward this message on to 10 of your friends.I need your help to put it on the air. We need to put $248,846 in the bank before 6 PM EST on Friday, December 28th to do it.
What’s really got me in stitches is I checked the graph around 6pm EST tonight and it was around $38k. At midnight it’s at $65k and the flash graphic showing the “Fill The Red Pickup Truck” drive total says that the deadline is now sundown, Dec. 31st. Moving the goal posts a bit there? I could swear it had the original 6pm Dec. 28th date on there earlier tonight.
By all means, if you’re a Fred Thompson supporter go and donate. Fred is far from my last choice as a Republican candidate. I’m not trying to fear the Fred Thompson campaign down or anything, just pointing out how radically diffferent its funding is when compared to Ron Paul’s campaign which looks like it’ll come in as the leader in Q4 fundraising.
I’m going to try and publish this without it automatically creating trackback entries to Misha’s and Rick Moran’s blogs. If my WordPress software still does it I appologise and would expect them to delete the trackback. There’s no reason for me to expect their blogs linking back to a post poking fun at their fundraising drive.
You might have seen that story earlier this week. There’s been a retraction of sorts. The only truth to the original story was that Don Black, a member of Stormfront, a white supremacist group, did in fact donate $500 to the Ron Paul campaign.
All that nonsense about him meeting up with them at a Thai restaurant? Yeah, it was horse shit. Surprisingly Bill White, the Commander of the American National Socialist Workers’ Party, was lieing.
Golly! Who’d have thought a neo-Nazi might have a less than perfect moral code?
© 2012 Justin Buist · Proudly powered by WordPress & Green Park 2 by Cordobo.
Valid XHTML 1.0 Transitional | Valid CSS 3
